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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
BL

Norwich
2 - 2
Birmingham

Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
FT
(aet)
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 6 at 12.30pm in Championship

We say: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

Norwich will undoubtedly be the more fired up of the two sides after the weekend's perceived injustice and spate of injuries, and their recent spate of results against Birmingham makes for positive reading. The Blues would do well to exploit the wide areas, with Norwich suffering the most in that area, but we have faith in the Canaries to finally kickstart their season and give their fans something to cheer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
41.02% (-0.052 -0.05) 25.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 33.2% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.43% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)49.68% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)71.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.97% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)58.21% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.4% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)64.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.02%
    Birmingham City 33.2%
    Draw 25.78%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.02%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 6 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Norwich
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hibernian 1-0 Norwich
Sunday, July 24 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cambridge 1-3 Norwich
Tuesday, July 19 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, July 16 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Huddersfield
Friday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-0 Birmingham
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 16 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, July 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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