We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers
While both managers will want to end disappointing seasons on a high, they will also want to give each squad a helping hand for the future. With changes aplenty most likely, we feel that Birmingham may show the extra desire to get all three points on the board in front of their own supporters.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.