Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match.
