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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
RL

Port Vale
1 - 2
Rotherham

Benning (81')
Smith (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rathbone (8'), Ogbene (45+4')
Bramall (78'), Rathbone (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Rotherham United

Rotherham United may rest some key players and a trip to Vale Park should pose a tough test, but we ultimately see Warne's side coming through the challenge and progressing to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.

Result
Port ValeDrawRotherham United
32.91% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 26.69% (0.225 0.22) 40.41% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.701 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.903 -0.9)53.51% (0.905 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.768 -0.77)75.03% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.411 -0.41)30.49% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.492 -0.49)66.71% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.565 -0.56)26.02% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.768 -0.77)61.05% (0.768 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.91%
    Rotherham United 40.4%
    Draw 26.68%
Port ValeDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.91%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.19% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Port Vale
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in League Two
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Crewe 1-2 Rotherham
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Doncaster 2-2 Rotherham
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Rotherham
Wednesday, July 13 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Harrogate 0-3 Rotherham
Tuesday, July 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1


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