Rotherham United may rest some key players and a trip to Vale Park should pose a tough test, but we ultimately see Warne's side coming through the challenge and progressing to the second round.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.
0.06) 
-0.29) 
