Form almost goes out of the window at this stage, but that is not to say that Mansfield have not looked the more secure side in recent matches. Having won each of their two games with Northampton, it leaves us to predict a narrow victory for Clough's side, who may benefit from a fast start.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
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