Having defeated Exeter on away territory, Port Vale will fancy their chances of another away trip with a win against the odds. However, we cannot ignore Swindon's form heading into this contest, leading us to predict a narrow home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Port Vale
41.09%	26.56%	32.35%

Both teams to score 51.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89%

53.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31%

74.69%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53%

25.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.69%

60.31%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34%

30.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09%

66.91%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 41.09%

Port Vale 32.35%

Draw 26.55%

Swindon Town	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.09%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.35%