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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Deepdale
CT

Preston
4 - 1
Cheltenham

Hughes (25'), Rafferty (37'), Maguire (82'), Riis Jakobsen (90+3')
Rudd (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vassell (56')
Barkers (28'), Thomas (32'), Vassell (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawCheltenham Town
39.27%26.31%34.42%
Both teams to score 52.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33%51.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55%73.44%
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21%25.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27%60.73%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39%28.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59%64.4%
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 39.27%
    Cheltenham Town 34.42%
    Draw 26.31%
Preston North EndDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.42%

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