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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Globe Arena
PN

Morecambe
2 - 4
Preston

O'Connor (45+4'), Stockton (61')
Duffus (39')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Riis Jakobsen (7', 33'), Ledson (64'), van den Berg (79')
Hughes (45+3'), Ledson (54'), van den Berg (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawPreston North End
39.28%27.03%33.69%
Both teams to score 50.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29%54.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97%76.03%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8%27.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39%62.6%
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42%30.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19%66.8%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 39.28%
    Preston North End 33.69%
    Draw 27.03%
MorecambeDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 8.35%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.28%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 33.69%

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