Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
