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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Whaddon Road
MD

Cheltenham
1 - 1
MK Dons

Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
39.55%25.26%35.18%
Both teams to score 56.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99%47.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.25%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47%23.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42%57.58%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09%25.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1%60.9%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.55%
    MK Dons 35.18%
    Draw 25.26%
Cheltenham TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 35.18%

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