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RL
EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
CU

Reading
3 - 1
Colchester

Joao (45+1', 56', 75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brown (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawColchester United
29.3%26.41%44.29%
Both teams to score 50.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37%53.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87%75.13%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91%33.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31%69.68%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91%24.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62%58.37%
Score Analysis
    Reading 29.3%
    Colchester United 44.28%
    Draw 26.4%
ReadingDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 4.88%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.3%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 11.34%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-2 @ 8.07%
1-3 @ 4.24%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.28%


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