Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.