Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Reading had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
