Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
