Accrington
3 - 3
Portsmouth

Bishop (15'), Burgess (43'), Marquis (90+5' og.)
Barclay (90+3'), Conneely (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Marquis (49', 90+1'), Williams (54')
Curtis (84'), Cannon (86')

Build‑up

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Portsmouth
29.87%	27.27%	42.86%

Both teams to score 48.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.34%

56.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38%

77.62%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74%

34.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05%

70.95%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83%

26.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75%

61.25%

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 29.87%

Portsmouth 42.85%

Draw 27.27%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.87%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 12.01% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.85%