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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
LT

Stevenage
2 - 2
Luton

Stevenage win 3-0 on penalties
List (2'), Coker (26')
Vancooten (4')
FT
(aet)
Jerome (5'), Muskwe (40')
Lansbury (44'), Osho (56'), Rea (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (7.25%).

Result
StevenageDrawLuton Town
21.69%24.8%53.5%
Both teams to score 48.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02%52.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42%74.57%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69%39.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98%76.01%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24%19.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19%51.8%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 21.69%
    Luton Town 53.5%
    Draw 24.8%
StevenageDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 7.25%
2-1 @ 5.49%
2-0 @ 3.39%
3-1 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.39%
3-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 7.77%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 12.59%
0-2 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-3 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 5.15%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-4 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 53.5%

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