Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.