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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 29, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
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Stevenage
3 - 3
Portsmouth

Portsmouth win 3-1 on penalties
List (9'), Carter (10'), Cuthbert (29')
FT
(aet)
Curtis (21'), Evans (45+2' pen.), Marquis (51')
Evans (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (7.86%).

Result
StevenageDrawPortsmouth
23.56%25.6%50.84%
Both teams to score 48.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75%54.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35%75.65%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79%38.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03%74.97%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63%21.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65%54.35%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 23.56%
    Portsmouth 50.84%
    Draw 25.6%
StevenageDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.86%
2-1 @ 5.83%
2-0 @ 3.78%
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.44%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.56%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 12.6%
0-2 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-3 @ 5%
1-3 @ 4.81%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 50.84%


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