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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Banks's Stadium
ST

Walsall
2 - 0
Swindon

Johnson (80' pen.), Abraham (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Adeloye (81'), Harries (85'), Darcy (90+5')
Minturn (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Walsall 1-2 Swindon Town

Both managers will likely take the opportunity to make numerous changes to their starting lineups, something which could make their league form irrelevant. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to come through with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
21.35%22.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 55.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)45.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.17% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05%15.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76%45.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 21.35%
    Swindon Town 55.88%
    Draw 22.78%
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 5.87%
2-1 @ 5.62%
2-0 @ 3.06%
3-1 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 21.35%
1-1 @ 10.76%
0-0 @ 5.61%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 9.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.04%
0-3 @ 5.78%
2-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.77%
0-4 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 1.45%
1-5 @ 1.02%
0-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 55.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 4-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Coventry
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Walsall 0-4 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Swindon
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-2 Walsall
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Swindon
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-4 Cardiff
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Port Vale
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Swindon
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two


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