Both sides will be looking to bounce from exiting the EFL Trophy during the week, but Swindon look the more likely to succeed in doing so. They are 10 places higher up the League Two table than their hosts and had not lost a game for over month prior to Tuesday, so we are backing an away win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.
