Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
