Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
