Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
