Swindon
0 - 3
Accrington

Grounds (73')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')

Build‑up

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
44.33%	26.97%	28.7%

Both teams to score 48.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.98%

56.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9%

77.1%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87%

25.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.17%

59.83%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.2%

34.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.46%

71.54%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 44.32%

Accrington Stanley 28.7%

Draw 26.96%

Swindon Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.32%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.16% Total : 28.7%