SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 66.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
66.86% ( 2.49) | 17.63% ( -2.02) | 15.5% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 61.66% ( 6.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.5% ( 8.9) | 30.49% ( -8.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.21% ( 9.95) | 51.78% ( -9.95) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.52% ( 3.07) | 8.48% ( -3.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.59% ( 7.08) | 29.4% ( -7.09) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% ( 5.07) | 32.62% ( -5.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.83% ( 5.3) | 69.17% ( -5.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -1.72)3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.64)3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.37)1-0 @ 6.83% ( -2.58)4-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.95)3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.87)4-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.34)4-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.81)5-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.71)5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.41)5-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.52)4-3 @ 1% ( 0.39)6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.38)Other @ 3.64% Total : 66.86% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( -1.53) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.46)0-0 @ 2.77% ( -1.59)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.49)Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.63% | 1-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -1.15)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.82% Total : 15.5% |
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