SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
43.18% ( 0.24) | 22.57% ( -0.04) | 34.25% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 66.36% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.73% ( 0.18) | 34.27% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.83% ( 0.2) | 56.17% ( -0.2) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( 0.17) | 16.53% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.71% ( 0.3) | 46.29% ( -0.3) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( -0.01) | 20.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.02% ( -0.02) | 52.98% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.97% Total : 34.25% |
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