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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
Kingsmeadow
S

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon win 6-5 on penalties
Lewis (71')
Pell (14'), Davison (33'), Lock (90'), Lock (90')
FT
(aet)
Reid (55' pen.)
MacDonald (40'), Neal (46'), Forster-Caskey (75'), Thompson (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

We say: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Stevenage

While both sides have made promising starts to the season, the visitors have an excellent record against this opponent and will be aiming to go deep in this competition. We expect this to be a back-and-forth encounter with lots of chances created, but we fancy Boro to secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%).

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
31.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.59% (0.021999999999998 0.02)57.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78% (0.015999999999998 0.02)78.22% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.17% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.51% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)63.02% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 31.39%
    Stevenage 41%
    Draw 27.6%
AFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.39%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Stevenage (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Stevenage
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One


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