SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
36.94% ( 0.03) | 24.4% ( 0.01) | 38.66% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.95% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.17% ( -0.02) | 42.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.76% ( -0.02) | 65.24% ( 0.03) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( 0) | 23.02% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.18% ( 0.01) | 56.83% ( -0) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( -0.02) | 22.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.49% ( -0.04) | 55.51% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.94% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.66% |
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