SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
23.9% ( -1.37) | 23.28% ( -0.89) | 52.82% ( 2.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( 1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( 2.58) | 44.39% ( -2.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( 2.46) | 66.76% ( -2.46) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( 0.25) | 32.48% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( 0.28) | 69.01% ( -0.28) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 1.81) | 16.79% ( -1.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.24% ( 3.14) | 46.75% ( -3.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.67)2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.51% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.64)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.51)0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.42)0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.32)0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.19)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.82% |
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