SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
43.02% ( 0.08) | 25.42% ( 0.01) | 31.56% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.38% ( -0.07) | 48.62% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( -0.06) | 70.74% ( 0.06) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( 0.01) | 22.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( 0.01) | 56.1% ( -0.01) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% ( -0.09) | 28.94% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% ( -0.11) | 64.83% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.02% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.56% |
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