SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 57.7%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
57.7% ( -0.43) | 19.06% ( 0.02) | 23.25% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 71.05% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.22% ( 0.4) | 24.78% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.38% ( 0.53) | 44.63% ( -0.52) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.13% ( 0.03) | 8.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.65% ( 0.06) | 30.35% ( -0.06) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.53) | 22.04% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( 0.79) | 55.37% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.77% Total : 57.7% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.06% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.18% Total : 23.25% |
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