SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
47.74% ( 1) | 22.68% ( -0.2) | 29.59% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 63.58% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.04% ( 0.5) | 36.96% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% ( 0.54) | 59.15% ( -0.53) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( 0.56) | 15.88% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.91% ( 1.01) | 45.1% ( -1) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( -0.24) | 24.43% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.15% ( -0.34) | 58.86% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 4% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.8% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.59% |
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