Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
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