Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
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