SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 70.86%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
70.86% ( 1.76) | 17.04% ( -0.76) | 12.09% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64% ( 1.11) | 36% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.91% ( 1.21) | 58.09% ( -1.21) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% ( 0.7) | 9.02% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.29% ( 1.66) | 30.71% ( -1.66) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% ( -0.81) | 41.01% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% ( -0.73) | 77.57% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 1% ( 0.13)5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.57% Total : 70.86% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.04% | 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.09% |
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