SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
62.12% ( 0.01) | 21.19% ( 0) | 16.69% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.41% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( -0.02) | 45.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% ( -0.02) | 67.4% ( 0.02) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% ( -0) | 13.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.6% ( -0.01) | 41.4% ( 0.01) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.74% ( -0.03) | 40.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.11% ( -0.03) | 76.89% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 62.11% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.69% |
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