Although Reading continue to struggle on the road, they have won three of their last four home league matches, and we think they will make full use of home advantage to claim a much-needed victory against Fleetwood on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
1.32) 
-0.38) 
