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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
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FT

Reading
1 - 2
Fleetwood

Ballard (56')
Carson (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lawal (2'), Vela (90+2')
Vela (88'), Stockley (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 4-0 Reading
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-1 Fleetwood Town

Although Reading continue to struggle on the road, they have won three of their last four home league matches, and we think they will make full use of home advantage to claim a much-needed victory against Fleetwood on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawFleetwood Town
43.95% (1.319 1.32) 24.94% (-0.378 -0.38) 31.11% (-0.941 -0.94)
Both teams to score 56.47% (0.86900000000001 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (1.313 1.31)46.69% (-1.311 -1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (1.22 1.22)68.95% (-1.217 -1.22)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (1.173 1.17)21.28% (-1.171 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (1.782 1.78)54.2% (-1.78 -1.78)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04)28.28% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05)63.99% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Reading 43.95%
    Fleetwood Town 31.11%
    Draw 24.94%
ReadingDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.237 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.184 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.153 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlton 4-0 Reading
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 5-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Reading
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Reading
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 3-3 Fleetwood (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-4 Wycombe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One


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