SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
43.95% ( 1.32) | 24.94% ( -0.38) | 31.11% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 56.47% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( 1.31) | 46.69% ( -1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( 1.22) | 68.95% ( -1.22) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( 1.17) | 21.28% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.8% ( 1.78) | 54.2% ( -1.78) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.04) | 28.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( 0.05) | 63.99% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.11% |
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