SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.94%) and 0-1 (4.89%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
37.96% ( -0.17) | 21.83% ( 0.03) | 40.21% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 70.06% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.24% ( -0.15) | 29.76% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.1% ( -0.18) | 50.9% ( 0.19) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( -0.13) | 16.75% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.32% ( -0.24) | 46.68% ( 0.25) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( -0) | 15.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.97% ( -0.01) | 45.03% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 37.96% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 40.21% |
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