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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
Priestfield Stadium
IL

Gillingham
0 - 2
Ipswich


McKenzie (58'), Akehurst (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pigott (43'), Chaplin (72')
Harper (57'), El Mizouni (85')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Gillingham and Ipswich Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawIpswich Town
31.61%25.48%42.91%
Both teams to score 54.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.15%48.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.06%70.94%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98%29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08%64.92%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68%56.32%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 31.61%
    Ipswich Town 42.91%
    Draw 25.48%
GillinghamDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.14%
2-1 @ 7.47%
2-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.61%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-2 @ 7.25%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 2.74%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.91%

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