Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.