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LC
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
LL

Lincoln
2 - 7
Liverpool

Edun (61'), Montsma (67')
Eyoma (69')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Shaqiri (9'), Minamino (18', 46'), Jones (32', 36'), Grujic (65'), Origi (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawLiverpool
14%19.54%66.45%
Both teams to score 50.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88%43.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48%65.52%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.31%42.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98%79.02%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92%12.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.38%37.62%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 14%
    Liverpool 66.44%
    Draw 19.55%
Lincoln CityDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 4.39%
2-1 @ 3.95%
2-0 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.18%
3-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 14%
1-1 @ 9.28%
0-0 @ 5.16%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 19.55%
0-2 @ 11.51%
0-1 @ 10.9%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 8.12%
1-3 @ 6.91%
0-4 @ 4.29%
1-4 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-5 @ 1.81%
2-4 @ 1.55%
1-5 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 66.44%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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