SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | MK Dons |
25.79% ( -0.72) | 24.4% ( 0.39) | 49.81% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( -1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( -2.24) | 47.6% ( 2.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( -2.1) | 69.8% ( 2.1) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( -1.75) | 32.64% ( 1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( -2.01) | 69.19% ( 2.01) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( -0.73) | 19.15% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.21% ( -1.23) | 50.79% ( 1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.79% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.12% Total : 49.81% |
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