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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
MD

Colchester
2 - 1
MK Dons

Scully (41' pen.), Kelleher (54')
Kelleher (27'), McDonnell (35'), Bendle (79'), Hunt (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wearne (34')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Colchester United and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 3-3 Colchester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawMK Dons
31.55% (-1.298 -1.3) 24.44% (-0.549 -0.55) 44.02% (1.848 1.85)
Both teams to score 58.38% (1.38 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73% (2.03 2.03)44.27% (-2.031 -2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36% (1.943 1.94)66.65% (-1.944 -1.94)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (0.176 0.18)26.8% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (0.23 0.23)62.09% (-0.23 -0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (1.696 1.7)20.24% (-1.697 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (2.641 2.64)52.57% (-2.64 -2.64)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 31.55%
    MK Dons 44.02%
    Draw 24.44%
Colchester UnitedDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.611 -0.61)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.376 -0.38)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 6% (0.156 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.493 -0.49)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.192 0.19)
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.312 -0.31)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.85% (0.342 0.34)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.243 0.24)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.24 0.24)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.227 0.23)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.166 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 44.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morecambe 3-3 Colchester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Brentford
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 MK Dons
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Walsall
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 MK Dons
Monday, September 2 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 MK Dons
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Watford 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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