SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons |
31.55% ( -1.3) | 24.44% ( -0.55) | 44.02% ( 1.85) |
| Both teams to score 58.38% ( 1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( 2.03) | 44.27% ( -2.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.36% ( 1.94) | 66.65% ( -1.94) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( 0.18) | 26.8% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% ( 0.23) | 62.09% ( -0.23) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( 1.7) | 20.24% ( -1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( 2.64) | 52.57% ( -2.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.61)2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.49)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.9% Total : 44.02% |
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