Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 71.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
