Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
