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League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
MD

Doncaster
2 - 1
MK Dons

Rowe (6'), Cukur (79')
Hiwula (34'), Williams (82'), Cukur (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kioso (24')
Harvie (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawMK Dons
30.3%26.55%43.16%
Both teams to score 50.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26%53.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78%75.22%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59%32.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07%68.93%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76%59.24%
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 30.3%
    MK Dons 43.15%
    Draw 26.54%
Doncaster RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-1 @ 7.11%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 30.3%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 11.19%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-2 @ 7.83%
1-3 @ 4.11%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.15%

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