Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.