SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Port Vale |
| 27.65% | 26.18% | 46.16% |
| Both teams to score 50.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% | 53.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% | 75.09% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% | 34.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.96% | 71.04% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% | 23.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.94% | 57.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 8.51% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.16% |
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