Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Start win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Start win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.