Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Odd win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Odd win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Odd would win this match.