SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Tromso IL | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | FK Haugesund | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Jerv | 16 | -23 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | FK Haugesund | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Jerv | 16 | -23 | 11 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 16 | -20 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Jerv |
63.45% ( 0.41) | 19.49% ( -0.33) | 17.06% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.47% ( 1.42) | 36.52% ( -1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.33% ( 1.53) | 58.67% ( -1.52) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.04% ( 0.52) | 10.96% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.81% ( 1.15) | 35.19% ( -1.14) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0.77) | 34.64% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% ( 0.81) | 71.36% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Jerv |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.24)1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.71% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.49% | 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 17.07% |
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