SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Valerenga Fotball | 14 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | FK Haugesund | 15 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Tromso IL | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aalesund | 15 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
| 9 | Odd | 15 | -6 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
42.19% ( -0.04) | 23.52% ( -0.02) | 34.29% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.76% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.03% ( 0.14) | 38.96% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.71% ( 0.15) | 61.28% ( -0.14) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( 0.04) | 18.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.7% ( 0.07) | 50.29% ( -0.07) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( 0.1) | 22.66% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.7% ( 0.15) | 56.29% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 34.29% |
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